Friday, October 28, 2005

Harriet Miers - Albino Alligator?

Many major news outlets are billing the Miers withdrawal as a stunning defeat for Bush, a major miscalculation contributing to his recent reeling. But Insider Mike has suggested that the Miers withdrawal was a brilliantly played distraction from the indictment story. But was the withdrawal the ploy or was the nomination itself the ploy? Was Harriet an albino alligator, pushed into the middle of the muck, unable to camouflage and protect herself, sacrificed for the benefit of the rest of the republican reptiles? Was all her floundering just a red herring? Does she in fact wear purple horseshoes and prance in fields of green clovers? About this there can be no doubt: the suffering of the Bush administration is magically delicious.

I certainly wouldn’t put anything past the Bush Cabal. I think once it became clear that she probably wouldn’t be confirmed, they (and she) decided on the withdrawal and then using the timing to their advantage was an obvious move. Fortunately, I don’t think it worked since the possible indictment of Rove and/or Scooter Boy is a bigger story – 24 hours after the Miers withdrawal, Paddy Fitz is trumping her on NYTimes.com, Boston.com, CNN, reuters, and even the Fair and Balanced boyz at FoxNews. Also I think back to back front page examples of Bush’s horrendous judgement of character will only hasten the onset of his lame duck status.

But as far as Supreme Court strategy goes, I don’t know what to think about whether Miers was an albino alligator from the beginning. Possible scheme: She gets attacked by the right for weeks. She withdraws. Bush nominates a hard core conservative to appease his base. Dems and possibly a couple moderates filibuster and block. Bush nominates another conservative, Dems don’t have the positioning to pull another filibuster, with the right threatening Nuclear Option, the Gang of 14 capitulating, and the nation sick to death of Supreme Court nominations. Said conservative gets in and swings the court to the right. It’s not a very complicated strategy if that’s what they’re doing. And Miers apparently reveres Bush so she would have been willing to take the fall. Ultimately, I don’t think it matters because Bush has a long list of qualified conservative candidates and the Dems can’t block them all. But the good news is that the longer this is drawn out, the longer O’Connor stays on the bench. This means that she may still cast critical votes on many cases on the docket, including a privatization of wetlands case, an assisted suicide, and an abortion case.

10 comments:

Sean B. said...

Fitzgerald has certainly been doing a careful enough study of the Bush crowd to play their game well. Monday he announced that he would be holding a press conference on Thursday afternoon to discuss the indictments and then he did nothing until today, giving the Bushes a chance for their distraction, the coincidentally timed withdrawal of Miers' nomination, to have it's day of coverage. You gotta love that guy!

Dan said...

Down goes Libby!! Fitzie's my boy! Somebody buy that boy a Guinness.

Gabi said...

Danno, I am so hopelessly out of touch that I don't know what a white Aligator is. Can you tell me? I was also wondering if you'd like to get a beer this weekend. You can tell me then. PS - I agree with the notioin that Meirs was a ploy from the begining. Is that a cork with pushpins stuck in it?

Dan said...

An albino alligator is often sacrificed by the rest of the gators, sent out into indeterminate waters to draw the danger to it, so that the rest of them can skirt around it to safety. you know, like sending troops into Iraq to draw Al Queda to them.

beer, cork, pushpins = yes.

lc said...

very odd. it's rare for someone to engage in the withdrawal method when they want to be involved in the whole abortion debate. perhaps they're just giving america options for when they make abortion illegal.

Dan said...

are you talking about sex?

lc said...

um, yeah, did i wander onto the wrong blog? oh, political stuff, yeah i did.I meant to post that on the baseball one.....

what i meant to say here was that I think the Albino aligator idea may be giving them too much credit. I think they're genuinely floundering. which stands to reason if W is actually starting to feel like he can make his own decisions.

Dan said...

no, no, sex is fine (or so I've heard (he says self-deprecatingly (he subparentheticals (he curses Dave Eggers)))). I'm just hesitant to cast Harriet's withdrawal in sexual terms because a) I'm not sure about the logistics of that one, b) I was recently chastised by a pack of feminists for making a joke about Mie Mie being the 60 Year Old Virgin, and c) I was raised Irish Catholic and I'm still paying for it.

lc said...

Don't you see? Miers was a 60 year old virgin (abstinence) and they withdrew her nomination (withdrawal). It's a metaphor for the only options we'll have when birth control and abortions are illegal. Ok, i know making birth control illegal isn't exactly on the supreme court docket (though it is legal for pharmacists to refuse to give it to you). And i know i've probably spent too much time on literary theory as opposed to actual political science. and i'm thinking the "pack of feminists" you refer to is me.

Dan said...

interesting analysis. surprising that she wouldn't appeal to the christian conservatives.

and I was talking about your co-workers who thought my photoshop hackjob joke was a sexist smear. Your sense of humor excludes you from The Pack. ah, christ. Now I have to post that picture so my millions of readers know what we're talking about.