Tuesday, October 14, 2008

I'm a dork.

I love this new pollster graph with all the breakdowns and tools to manipulate it. I suspect that I would hate it if the blue and red were reversed.

UPDATE - I had to switch from the interactive graph to a picture because it was causing VTK loading delays. Go to pollster.com to see the interactive graph and dork out on manipulating the tools function. Or enjoy the state-by-state, updated-daily, color-coded electoral breakdown from electoral-vote.com. I put a link to this one in the right margin. And if you're a total addict, check out the data from the links underneath the chart. But I guess I don't need to tell you all this if you're a total addict. I like the cartogram myself.


fuge said...

So Howie Carr in today's herald has pleaded with Sarah Palin to help with tight senatorial races rather than the presidency...because it's a lost cause...I really am starting to get excited!

Dan said...

They could be royally fucked in the Senate too - possible 60 Democrat filibuster-proof Senate. Not to mention the massive advantage they'll have in the House. I'm trying not to get too excited though, because there are a few wild cards in play in the presidential race - not least of which is race itself. A "Bradley Effect" (saying you'll vote for the black candidate and then changing your mind in the privacy of the voting booth) is possible in many states. I heard one African American professor suggest that the rule of thumb is that black candidates expect a 5 point swing on Bradley Effect. Insane but possible. Also, you practically have to factor in Republican electoral shenanigans/fraud at this point. And there's still a chance that Obama will make a blunder, McCain will start making sense, there will be a (late) October Surprise, or something else that will cause an improbable swing in the polls. I'm troubled by some of the polls being closer than others. There're the big sexy 12, 13, 14 point lead polls, and then there are those that have it at 5 or 6, which is still big, but not impenetrable to any of the above factors. Polling in swing states looks very good. But I'm concerned about stories like this one. Blackwell's gone and the SoS is a Dem now but the Republican drive to disenfranchise is still alive and well in Ohio.